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当前位置:金号角网> 金融学院> 金融知识 > 英文财经词汇 > Buzz Words - 财经术语> Prisoner's Dilemma

恭喜湖南/长沙市【成功】需求金额200万元

恭喜湖南/长沙市【成功】需求金额200万元

恭喜湖南/长沙市【成功】需求金额300万元

恭喜湖南/长沙市【成功】需求金额200万元

恭喜湖南/长沙市【成功】需求金额1000万元

Prisoner's Dilemma

2020-08-14 编辑:网站编辑 有630人参与 发送到手机
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A paradox in decision analysis in which two individuals acting in their own best interest pursue a course of action that does not result in the ideal outcome. The typical prisoner’s dilemma is set up in such a way that both parties choose to protect themselves at the expense of the other participant. As a result of following a purely logical thought process to help oneself, both participants find themselves in a worse state than if they had cooperated with each other in the decision-making process.

Suppose two friends, Dave and Henry, are suspected of committing a crime and are being interrogated in separate rooms. Both individuals want to minimize their jail sentence. Both of them face the same scenario:

gametheory


Dave has the option of pleading guilty or not guilty. If he pleads not guilty, Henry can plead not guilty and get a two-year sentence, or he can plead guilty and get a one-year sentence. It is in Henry’s best interest to plead guilty if Dave pleads not guilty. If Dave pleads guilty, Henry can plead not guilty and receive a five-year sentence. Otherwise he can plead guilty and get a three-year sentence. It is in Henry’s best interest to plead guilty if Dave pleads guilty.


Dave faces the same decision matrix and follows the same logic as Henry. As a result, both parties plead guilty and spend three years in jail although through cooperation they could have served only two.

A true prisoner’s dilemma is typically "played" only once; otherwise it is classified as an iterated prisoner’s dilemma.