Statistics used to measure current conditions as well as to forecast financial or economic trends. Indicators are used extensively in technical analysis to predict changes in stock trends or price patterns. In fundamental analysis, economic indicators that quantify current economic and industry conditions are used to provide insight into the future profitability potential of public companies. In the context of technical analysis, an indicator is a mathematical calculation based on a securities price and/or volume. The result is used to predict future prices. Common technical analysis indicators are the moving average convergence-divergence (MACD) indicator and the relative strength index (RSI).In an economic context, an indicator could be a measure such as the unemployment rate, which can be used to predict future economic trends. Common general economic indicators are the unemployment rate, new housing starts and the consumer price index (CPI).
A term used in the Elliott wave theory to describe the strong move in a stock's price coinciding with the main direction of the underlying trend. These impulse waves are shown in the illustration below as wave 1, wave 3 and wave 5. Impulse waves also refer to the strong downward movements in a downtrend. The interesting thing about the Elliott wave theory is that it is not limited to a certain time period. This allows some waves to last for several hours, several years or even decades. Regardless of the time frame used, impulse waves always run in the same direction as the primary trend.
A technical indicator that is used to gauge momentum along with future areas of support and resistance. The Ichimoku indicator is comprised of five lines called the tenkan-sen, kijun-sen, senkou span A, senkou span B and chickou span. This indicator was developed so that a trader can gauge an asset's trend, momentum and support and resistance points without the need of any other technical indicator. "Ichimoku" is a Japanese word that means "one look." This charting technique was created by a Japanese newspaper writer. It does look very complicated when a trader sees the indicator for the first time, but don't hesitate to give this indicator a try because the complexity quickly disappears once you gain an understanding of what the various lines mean and why they are used.
Using trendlines to connect variable pivot highs and lows shows price contained between the upper line of resistance and lower line of support. This is price range or sideways trend. This horizontal channel or sideways trend is also a rectangle pattern (dotted lines show the pattern). Buying and selling pressure is equal and the prevailing direction of price sideways. This happens in periods of price consolidation. Price is framed out in a trading range by the pivot highs (resistance) and pivot lows (support). Trendlines drawn on pivots give a visual picture of price action. A new high in price above the horizontal channel is a technical buy signal. A new low in price below the horizontal channel (or rectangle pattern) is a technical sell signal.
A short-term candlestick pattern, occurring in either an uptrend or a downtrend, that is used to predict a reversal in the trend's direction. The pattern is identified when a candlestick has a higher low and a lower high compared to the previous day's candlestick. This pattern is unique because the difference in size between the first and second bar's body is small, compared to that seen in other types of engulfing patterns. If this pattern is found in an uptrend, then the open must be near the prior high, and the low must be near the prior low. This pattern is often classified as a type of harami position because the real body of the second candle forms within the body of the previous candle. It should be noted that the reversal suggested by this pattern is considered to be more significant if it is identified within a strong trend.
An occurrence in technical analysis where a stock price will gap up/down, trade higher than this price, and then gap down/up below the initial price. When a stock indicates an uptrend, trades above the gap which occurs, then gaps back down and trades below the initial price, an island reversal has occurred.
A type of candlestick charting formation that appears when a security's price does not trade outside the range of the opening and closing prices. The marubozo's defining characteristic is the absence of upper or lower shadows. On an up day the opening price is equal to the day's low, and the closing price is equal to the day's high. This type of candle suggests strongly that there is a greater demand for the stock than there is willingness for people to sell it. The opposite is true when the marubozo appears on a down day (when the opening price is equal to the high of the day).
The difference between the expected return on a market portfolio and the risk-free rate. It is equal to the slope of the security market line (SML).